On the other hand, some pools use very “flat” scoring systems, where getting first round games correct is worth a lot more relative to later-round picks. However, it could have a significant negative impact on your prize winning chances. In a more traditional scoring system where later-round picks are worth a lot, you could still make up points in the future. 6 seed was a popular pick, lots of your opponents earn multiple points from those two wins, but you don’t earn any points.Ī result like that probably won’t completely crush your odds to win your pool. 3 seed in the second round and makes the Sweet 16. 11 seed losing in the second round, so there wouldn’t be any possible upside beyond that. 11 seed and they win) might only earn you one measly point in a lot of scoring systems. The risks simply outweigh the rewards.Ī good outcome (you pick the No. 3 seed in the tournament.Īdd it all up, and an upset pick here probably isn’t a wise move in a more traditional bracket pool scoring system. 6 seed wins its first round game, the opponent they will face in the second round is probably going to be the No. So that team is likely to be a popular pick in your pool. 6 seed also happens to be from the state in which most of your pool opponents live. 6 seed is a decent favorite to win the game (as we stated earlier). In these types of scoring systems, an early upset pick that doesn’t go your way could come back to bite you if you’re not careful. ![]() In the most popular bracket scoring system, for instance, getting your NCAA champion pick correct is worth 32 times the value of getting a first round pick correct. In a lot of popular scoring systems, the first round games mean little relative to later round games. The right answer depends on several things - one of which is your scoring system. So which team should you pick in order to maximize your odds to win your pool? 6 seed has about a 60% chance to win the game in the betting markets the No. Using our NCAA Bracket Picks product, you quickly pull up the latest Vegas odds and algorithmic game predictions. Imagine you’re in the middle of picking the first round games in your 2017 NCAA bracket. Most people who play in NCAA bracket pools pay far too little attention to the implications of their bracket pool’s scoring system. Why Your Bracket Pool’s Scoring System Matters It also will explore the dynamics of some of the more popular bracket pool scoring systems. This post will show how you can apply similar logic to your bracket contest this year. They objectively evaluated the rules of the contest at a deep level, and figured out how to exploit them. In short, these outperforming teams optimized their game for the current NBA scoring system. Shifted their personnel and coaching strategies to exploit that edge.Identified an edge from shooting more 3-pointers.What’s a big reason behind the success of “small ball” in the NBA? ![]() (Or let us do it for you.) It All Starts With The Scoring System If you want to dominate March Madness bracket pools, you need to take a page out of their playbook. And they sit at the top of the NBA standings. In the NBA, teams like the Cleveland Cavaliers, Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors are now averaging 30-40 three point attempts per game - a figure unheard of just 10 years ago. ![]() Love it or hate it, the “small ball” revolution has led to dramatic changes in the game of basketball. Like Coach K, you need to exploit the scoring systems and adapt your strategies.
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